祝从文-中国科学院大学-UCAS
[中文]
[English]
招生信息
教育背景
工作简历和社会兼职
专利与奖励
代表性论文
承担的科研项目
合作情况
基本信息
祝从文 男 博导 其它 电子邮件：zhucw@cma.gov.cn 通信地址：中国气象科学研究院，北京海淀中关村南大街46号 邮政编码：100081
研究领域
气候变化和次季节至季节气候预测理论
招生信息
招收大气科学和海洋专业博士研究生主要研究方向:东亚季风次季节至季节变化机理和预测理论
教育背景
1995-09--1998-06 南京气象学院 理学博士 1992-09--1995-07 中国气象科学研究院 理学硕士 1985-09--1989-06 南京气象学院 理学学士
学位
1995-1998年：南京气象学院气象系，气候动力学专业，获得理学博士学位；
1992-1995年：中国气象科学研究院，气候动力学专业，获得理学硕士学位；
1985-1989年：南京气象学院气象系，天气动力学专业，获得理学学士学位；
出国学习工作
2004年1月-2005年12月：韩国亚太气候中心(APEC Climate Center), 从事多模式集合预报研究，访问学者；
1999年10月-2002年3月：日本气象研究所台风研究室，从事台风观测研究，博士后；
工作简历和社会兼职
工作简历：
2006年- 至今：中国气象科学研究院、气候系统研究所、研究员
2002-2003年：中国气象科学研究院，地球与环境变化研究中心，副研究员；
1998-1999年：中国气象科学研究院，助理研究员；
1989-1992年：黑龙江大兴安岭气象局，预报员；
社会兼职：
2006年-至今：中国气象学会第二十六界理事会气候委员会委员
2011年-至今：中国气象学会副热带气象委员会委员委员
2012年-至今：中国气象局沈阳大气环境研究所学术委员会委员
2012年-至今：全国气候与气候变化标准化技术委员会委员
专利与奖励
荣获2006年度茅以升北京青年科技奖
代表性论文
Liu Boqi,C., Zhu*, Jingzhi Su, and Shuangmei, Ma,2019: Record-breaking northward shift of the western North Pacific Subtropical High in July 2018. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. DOI:10.2151/jmsj.2019-047Xu K, Wang W, Liu B, Zhu C., 2019: Weakening of the El Niño amplitude since the late 1990s and its link to decadal change in the North Pacific climate. Int J Climatol. 1–14.https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6063Guo L, Zhu C*, Liu B, 2019: Possible causes of the flooding over south China during the 2015/2016 winter. Int J Climatol. 1–13.https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6013Liu Boqi and C., Zhu, 2019: Extremely late onset of the 2018 South China Sea summer monsoon following a La Niña event: effects of triple SST anomaly mode in the North Atlantic and a weaker Mongolian cyclone. Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1029/2018GL081718Yu Minjie, Congwen Zhu*, and Ning Jiang, 2019: Subseasonal mode of cold and wet climate in South China during the cold season: a climatological view, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, DOI: 10.1080/16742834.2019. 1568164Guo Li, C. Zhu*, B. Liu, and S., Ma, 2018: Subseasonal variation of winter rainfall anomalies over South China during the mature phase of super El Niño events, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, DOI: 10.1080/16742834. 2018.1505404Ma, Shuangmei and C. Zhu*, 2019: Extreme cold wave over East Asia in January 2016: A possible response to the larger internal atmospheric variability induced by Arctic warming. J. Climate. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0234.1Ma, Shuangmei, C., Zhu*, Boqi Liu, Tianjun Zhou, Yihui Ding, and J. Orsolini Yvan, 2018: Polarized response of East Asian winter temperature extremes in the era of Arctic warming. J. Climate. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0463.1.Jiang N. and C. Zhu*, 2018:Asymmetric changesof ENSO diversity modulated by the cold tongue mode under recent global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett.https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079494Hao, Y.Q., B.Q. Liu, C., Zhu, and Shuangmei, Ma, 2018: The interannual dominant co-variation of boreal summer monsoon rainfall during 1979-2014. J. Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0423.1Lü, Junmei, C. Zhu, Yishu Pang, and Yamin Hu, 2018: A statistical forecast model for the Chinese winter temperature based on autumn SST anomalies. Theoretical and Applied Climatology.https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2631-1Liu B.i, C. Zhu*, J. Su, L., Hua, and Y. Duan, 2017: Why was the western Pacific subtropical anticyclone weaker in late summer after the 2015/16 super El Niño? International Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.5160.Xu, K., R. Huang, W. WANG, C. Zhu, and R. Lu, 2017: Thermocline fluctuations in the equatorial Pacific related to the two types of El Niño events. J. Climate.doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0291.1.Yuan, Naiming, Elena Xoplaki1, Congwen Zhu, and Juerg Luterbacher, 2016: A novel way to detect correlations on multi-time scales, with temporal evolution and for multi-variables. Sci. Rep. 6, 27707; doi: 10.1038/srep27707.Liu Boqi, Congwen Zhu, Yuan Yuan, and Kang Xu, 2016: Two types of interannual variability of South China Sea summer monsoon onset related to the SST anomalies before and after 1993/94. J. Climate, 29(19), 6957-6971. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0065.1.Liu Boqi and Congwen Zhu, 2016: A Possible precursor of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset: Effect of the South Asian high. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, doi:10.1002/2016GL071083Song, Zehao, Congwen Zhu*, Jingzhi Su, and Boqi Liu, 2016: Coupling modes of climatological intraseasonal oscillation in the East Asian summer monsoon. J. Climate, 29 (17), 6363-6382. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0794.1Xu Kang, Francis Tam, Congwen Zhu, Boqi Liu, and Yaqiang Wang, 2016: CMIP5 Projections of Two Types of El Niño and Their Related Tropical Precipitation in the 21st Century. J. Climate. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0413.1Hao Yu-Qian, Cong-Wen Zhu*, and Bo-Qi Liu,2016: Discrepancies in boreal summer monsoon rainfall between GPCP and CMAP products during 1979–2014, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 9:3, 226-233, DOI: 10.1080/16742834.2016.1168603Kang Xu,Congwen Zhu and Weiqiang Wang，2016：The cooperative impacts of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation and the Indian Ocean Dipole on the interannual variability of autumn rainfall in China. Int. J. Climatol. 36, 1987–1999. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4475Xu, K., J. Z. Su, and C. W. Zhu, 2014: The natural oscillation of two types of ENSO events based on analyses of CMIP5 model control runs. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 31(4), 801–813, doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-3153-5.Xu, K.,C., Zhu*, and J. H. He, 2013: Two types of El Nino-related Southern Oscillation and their different impacts on global land precipitation. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 30(6), 1743-1757, doi:10.1007/s00376-013-2272-3.Su, J.-Z., R.-H. Zhang, and C.-W. Zhu, 2013:ECHAM5-simulated impacts of two types of El Niño on the winter precipitation anomalies in South China, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 6, 360‒364, doi:10.3878/j.issn.1674-2834.13.0013.Lin X, Zhu C*, Lü J M, 2013: Decadal change of the East Asian summer monsoon and its related surface temperature in Asia-Pacific during 1880–2004.Chin Sci Bull, 58: 4497 10.1007/s11434-013-5969-xZhu, C., B. Wang, W. Qian, and B. Zhang, 2012: Recent weakening of northern East Asian summer monsoon: A possible response to global warming, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L09701, doi:10.1029/2012GL051155.Xu K, Zhu C*.,He J H., 2012：Linkage between the dominant modes in Pacific subsurface ocean temperature and the two type ENSO events. Chin Sci Bull, doi: 10.1007/s11434-012-5173-4Zhu C., Zhou X J, Zhao P, et al, 2011: Onset of East Asian subtropical summer monsoon and rainy season in China. Sci China Earth Sci,54:1845–1853, doi: 10.1007/s11430-011-4284-0Kang Hongwen, Zhu C., Zuo Zhiyan, et al., 2011: Statistical downscaling of pattern projection using multi-model output variables as predictors. Acta Meteor. Sinica, 25(3), 293-302, doi: 10.1007/s13351-011-0305-3.Weihong Qian, Xiaolong Shan,Deliang Chen,C.,Zhu,Yafen Zhu,2011:Droughts near the northern fringe of the East Asian summer monsoon in China during 1470–2003. Climatic Change. DOI 10.1007/s10584-011-0096-7.Xu Kang, Zhu C., 2010: Tropical pacific decadal oscillation in subsurface ocean temperature. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters 3(2),106-110.Qian W H, Lu B, Zhu C.,2010: How would global-mean temperature change in the 21st century? Chinese Sci Bull, 2010, 55, doi: 10.1007/s11434-010-3258-5.Zhao P, Jiang P P, Zhou X J, Zhu C.,2009：Modeling impacts of East Asian Ocean-Land thermal contrast on spring southwesterly winds and rainfall in eastern China. Chinese Sci Bull, 2009, 54, doi: 10.1007/s11434-009-0229-9Zhu, C., B. Wang, and W. Qian, 2008: Why do dust storms decrease in northern China concurrently with the recent global warming?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L18702, doi:10.1029/2008GL034886.Zhu, C., C.-K. Park, W.-S. Lee, and W.-T. Yun, 2008: Statistical downscaling for multi-model ensemble prediction of summer monsoon rainfall in the Asia-Pacific region using geopotential height. Adv. Atmos.Sci, 25(5), 867-884, doi:10.1007 /s00376-008-0867-x.Wang,L, C., Zhu and W.-T., Yun, 2007: Improvement of model Asian summer rainfall anomaly forecast by a spatial filtering scheme, Theor. Appl. Climatol. 88, 225–230,DOI 10.1007/s00704-006-0240-xZhu, C., W. Lee, H. Kang, and C. Park, 2005: A proper monsoon index for seasonal and interannual variations of the East Asian monsoon. Geophys. Res. Lett.,32,L02811,doi:10.1029/2004GL021295.Zhu C., He Jinhai, and Tan Yanke, 2004: Characteristics of the northern Hemisphere sub-Tropical high seasonal splitting over the Asian monsoon sectors and its possible mechanism. J. of Tropical Meteorology, 10 (2), 160-170.Zhu, C., T. Nakazawa, J. Li and L. Chen, 2003：The 30-60 day intraseasonal oscillation over the western North Pacific Ocean and its impacts on summer flooding in China during 1998. Geophys. Res. Lett. 30 (18), 1952, doi: 10.1029/2003 GL017817.Zhu C., T. Nakazawa, and Jianping Li, 2003：Modulation of twin tropical cyclogenesis by the MJO westerly wind burst during the onset period of 1997/98 ENSO. Adv. Atmos. Sci. 20 (6), 882-898.Zhu Congwen, Longxun Chen and N. Yamazaki, 1999: The interdecadal variation characteristics of Artic sea ice cover-ENSO-East Asian monsoon and their relationship at quasi-four years time scale. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 16, 641-652.刘凯，祝从文. 2015：冬季北太平洋海温主模态在1990年前后调整及其成因初探.大气科学, 39 (5): 926–940.张书萍,祝从文,周秀骥. 2014.华北水资源年代际变化及其与全球变暖之间的关联.大气科学, 38 (5): 1005−1016.庞轶舒，祝从文，刘凯. 2014:中国夏季降水异常EOF模态的时间稳定性分析.大气科学, 38 (6): 1137−1146.李明，祝从文，庞轶舒,2014: 2011年春夏季长江中下游旱涝急转可能成因．气象与环境学报，30(4)：70-78．吕俊梅,祝从文,琚建华等. 2014.近百年中国东部夏季降水年代际变化特征及其原因.大气科学, 38 (4): 782−794.郭玲，何金海，祝从文，2012：影响长江中下游夏季降水的前期潜在预报因子评估.大气科学，36（2），337-349.沈晓琳，祝从文，李明，2012：2010年秋、冬季节华北持续性干旱的气候成因分析.大气科学，36（6），1123-1134.康红文，祝从文，左志燕，张人禾，2012：多模式集合预报及其降尺度技术在东亚夏季降水预测中的应用.气象学报，70（2），192-201祝从文，周秀骥，赵平，陈隆勋，何金海，2011：东亚副热带夏季风的建立与中国汛期开始时间.中国科学：地球科学,41(8),1172-1181.徐康，何金海，祝从文，2011：近50年中国东部夏季降水与贝加尔湖地表气温年代际变化关系.气象学报，69(4),570-580.徐康，祝从文，何金海，2011：近50年环贝加尔湖区变暖对中国华北夏季降水的影响机理.高原气象，30(2),309-317.张书萍,祝从文,2011:2009年冬季新疆北部持续性暴雪的环流特征及其成因分析.大气科学,35(5),833-846.祝从文，徐康，张书萍，郭玲，2010：中国春季沙尘暴年代及变化和季节预测.气象科技，38（2），201-206.赵平，蒋品平，周秀骥，祝从文，2009：春季东亚海-陆热力差异对我国东部西南风降水影响数值试验.科学通报，54:2372-2378.祝从文，T. Nakazawa,李建平，2004：低频振荡对印度–西太平洋地区热带低压/气旋生成的影响.气象学报，62（1）,42-50.祝从文,何金海,谭言科, 2004：春夏季节转换中亚洲季风区副热带高压断裂特征及其可能机制分析.热带气象学报,20(3),237-248.祝从文,陈隆勋,何金海,2004：春夏季节转化中西太平洋副热带高压东移与大尺度环流和温度场变化关系.热带气象学报,20(5),334-345.康红文,谷湘潜,祝从文, P. Whitfield, 2004:我国中部和南部地区降水再循环率评估,大气科学, 28(6), 892-900.祝从文，何金海，吴国雄，2000：东亚季风指数及其与大尺度热力环流年际变化关系.气象学报，58（4），391-402.
承担的科研项目
在研项目：
2015-2018年：国家自然基金面上项目“东亚夏季风环流的齿轮耦合模态年际变化对中国降水多样性的影响”，主持人
2011-2015年：中科院碳专项重点项目之“季风变异对中国百年气候变化作用”，子课题负责人；
2013-2015年： 基金委创新群体项目“东亚副热带季风变异机理”，研究骨干；
已结题项目：
2010-2012年：基金委创新群体项目“东亚副热带季风变异机理”，研究骨干；
2007-2011年：基金委“全球变化与区域响应”重点项目“中国近百年气候年代际变化机理数值模拟研究”，主持人；
2007-2011 年：中国气象局行业专项重点项目“中国气候系统的协同观测与预测研究/东亚副热带季风变异及其对我国旱涝影响机理”，课题负责人；
2011-2012年：中国 气象局新技术推广重点项目“海洋对我国汛期降水影响的动力学诊断和检验技术集成与应用”，课题负责人
合作情况
项目协作单位
1. 美国夏威夷大学气象系
2. 香港城市大学；
2013 中国科学院大学，网络信息中心.